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Bimonthly, started in 1957
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Shanxi Provincial Education Department
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Taiyuan University of Technology
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Ed. Office of Journal of TYUT
Editor-in-Chief
SUN Hongbin
ISSN: 1007-9432
CN: 14-1220/N
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  • Prediction of Influenza-like Illnesses Based on Optimized Elman Neural Network
    DOI:
    10.16355/j.cnki.issn1007-9432tyut.2019.02.017
    Received:
    Accepted:
    abstract:
    Despite increased advancements of medical technology,influenza continues to pose tremendous threats to public health today.Accurate real-time prediction and immediate response are essential to avoid the repercussions of an influenza epidemic.In this paper,the influenza-like illness(ILI)data was adopted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in the United States to predict influenza prevalence.In order to accurately predict influenza prevalence at a region level,the improved multi-verse optimizer(IMVO)by updating the traveling distance rate(TDR)was obtained for optimizing the parameters of Elman neural network(ERNN),whose model is written as IMVO-ERNN.By comparison,the results show that IMVO-ERNN outperforms MLR,ERNN and MVO-ERNN and is capable of predicting real-time regional estimates of influenza outbreaks in the United States.
    Keywords:
    multi-verse optimizer;elman neural network;influenza-like illness;prediction

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