Introduction
Bimonthly, started in 1957
Administrator
Shanxi Provincial Education Department
Sponsor
Taiyuan University of Technology
Publisher
Ed. Office of Journal of TYUT
Editor-in-Chief
SUN Hongbin
ISSN: 1007-9432
CN: 14-1220/N
Administrator
Shanxi Provincial Education Department
Sponsor
Taiyuan University of Technology
Publisher
Ed. Office of Journal of TYUT
Editor-in-Chief
SUN Hongbin
ISSN: 1007-9432
CN: 14-1220/N
location: home > paper >

Prediction of Influenza-like Illnesses Based on Optimized Elman Neural Network
DOI:
10.16355/j.cnki.issn1007-9432tyut.2019.02.017
Received:
Accepted:
Corresponding author | Institute | |
HU Hongping | School of Science,North University of China,Taiyuan Shanxi 030051,China |
abstract:
Despite increased advancements of medical technology,influenza continues to pose tremendous threats to public health today.Accurate real-time prediction and immediate response are essential to avoid the repercussions of an influenza epidemic.In this paper,the influenza-like illness(ILI)data was adopted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in the United States to predict influenza prevalence.In order to accurately predict influenza prevalence at a region level,the improved multi-verse optimizer(IMVO)by updating the traveling distance rate(TDR)was obtained for optimizing the parameters of Elman neural network(ERNN),whose model is written as IMVO-ERNN.By comparison,the results show that IMVO-ERNN outperforms MLR,ERNN and MVO-ERNN and is capable of predicting real-time regional estimates of influenza outbreaks in the United States.
Keywords:
multi-verse optimizer;elman neural network;influenza-like illness;prediction