Introduction
Bimonthly, started in 1957
Administrator
Shanxi Provincial Education Department
Sponsor
Taiyuan University of Technology
Publisher
Ed. Office of Journal of TYUT
Editor-in-Chief
SUN Hongbin
ISSN: 1007-9432
CN: 14-1220/N
Administrator
Shanxi Provincial Education Department
Sponsor
Taiyuan University of Technology
Publisher
Ed. Office of Journal of TYUT
Editor-in-Chief
SUN Hongbin
ISSN: 1007-9432
CN: 14-1220/N
location: home > paper >

Research on Wind Power Forecasting Based on Fuzzy Clustering Analysis
DOI:
10.16355/j.cnki.issn1007-9432tyut.2018.01.020
Received:
Accepted:
Corresponding author | Institute | |
TIAN Jianyan | College of Information Engineering, Taiyuan University of Technology Key Lab of PSOC, Taiyuan University of Technology |
abstract:
Improving short-term wind power forecasting accuracy is an urgent requirement for the development of large-scale wind power, and it is also the key to ensuring the integrated operation of wind power.In this paper, a method to improve the forecasting accuracy based on clustering is proposed without increasing the complexity of the model.First, training samples are processed by the fuzzy C-means clustering method optimized by subtractive clustering.Then the forecasting model base corresponding to different data set is established.Finally, different forecasting data are matched to the data in the clustered data set so that the optimized model is selected for wind power forecasting.A lot of actual data of wind farm in Shanxi province are used for simulation study.The results show that it can reduce the number of large prediction error so as to effectively improve the forecasting accuracy of wind power.
Keywords:
Wind power forecasting; Fuzzy clustering; Neural network models; Training sample processing; Subtractive clustering;